GSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$9.58
-0.11 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
+3.34%
30d:
+4.81%
90d:
+9.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.51
Based on 0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $9.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.94 to $9.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $9.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GSBD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $9.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GSBD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.94 -
$9.39
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($8.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with -18.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.94 -
$9.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.76
Resistance Level
$9.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.76
Wall Street Target
$8.88
(-7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.00
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$10.44
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$10.90
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.5%)
$21.39
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -3.5%)
$8.60
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: -3.5%)
$7.31
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$18.22
(+90%)
Analyst growth 70.9%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$16.56
(+73%)
Market implied 70.9%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$6.59
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carlos E Evans
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-02
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