GTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GTY - Getty Realty Corp.

REAL ESTATE
$32.67
-0.01 (-0.03%) ▼
5d: -1.06%
30d: -4.05%
90d: -1.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.10
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.90
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $32.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.79 to $33.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $32.79 - $33.83
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.71)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.79 - $33.83
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.32
Resistance Level $33.35
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.78
Wall Street Target $34.71 (+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.3%
Profit Margin 40.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.1% premium
PE vs Historical 21.8 vs 21.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.03 (+1%)
2-Year Target $33.39 (+2%)
3-Year Target $33.76 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→21) PE COMPRESSION $32.70 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.7%) $39.14 (+20%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.7%) $38.63 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 5.7%) $32.84 (+1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case $35.24 (+8%)
Analyst growth -2.0%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case $32.03 (-2%)
Market implied -2.0%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case $22.22 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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