GTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTY - Getty Realty Corp.
$34.34
0.74 (2.20%)
▲
5d:
+1.3%
30d:
+5.34%
90d:
+7.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GTY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.52
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $34.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.58 to $33.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.58 -
$33.72
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.58 -
$33.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.79
Resistance Level
$33.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.46
Wall Street Target
$34.71
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
40.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 20.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.69
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$31.12
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$29.63
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$34.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.3%)
$52.91
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 7.3%)
$42.42
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 7.3%)
$36.06
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$47.50
(+38%)
Analyst growth 28.5%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$43.18
(+26%)
Market implied 28.5%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$22.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 20.3
Stabilization Target:
$39.92
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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