HFFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HFFG - HF Foods Group Inc. Common Stock
$2.02
0.11 (5.76%)
▲
5d:
+6.88%
30d:
-4.72%
90d:
+36.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When HFFG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HFFG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 6111% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HFFG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 6111% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.68
24.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HFFG is currently trading at $2.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.90 to $2.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.2) compared to its historical average (3.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6110.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HFFG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1.76, while resistance sits at $2.27. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.67 (+196.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HFFG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1.76, while resistance sits at $2.27. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.67 (+196.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$1.90 -
$2.10
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 196.7% below Wall St target ($5.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.90 -
$2.10
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.76
Resistance Level
$2.28
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.18
Wall Street Target
$5.67
(+196.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6110.9%
Profit Margin
-2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.2 vs 3.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.81
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$1.72
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$1.63
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$1.89
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 71.4%)
$44.63
(+2237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.2, Growth: 71.4%)
$6.45
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.7, Growth: 71.4%)
$5.48
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.2 to 3.7
Stabilization Target:
$2.22
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HFFG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Dennis Lam
BUY
100 shares
2026-03-19
Christine Chang
BUY
4000 shares
2026-03-18
Dennis Lam
BUY
8000 shares
2026-03-18
Top Rated Food Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Food Distribution by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
USFD
US Foods Holding Corp |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$108 | 57 HOLD |
|
SYY
Sysco Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$86 | 61 BUY |
|
PFGC
Performance Food Group Co |
BUY
16 analysts |
$119 | 61 BUY |
|
CHEF
The Chefs Warehouse Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$85 | 58 HOLD |
|
UNFI
United Natural Foods Inc |
SELL
11 analysts |
$46 | 62 BUY |
