HLNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLNE - Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock
$79.76
1.10 (1.40%)
▲
5d:
+4.64%
30d:
-6.01%
90d:
-17.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLNE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLNE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.16
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.55
5.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $79.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.90 to $85.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.79, while resistance sits at $93.52.
Market Sentiment: HLNE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.71 (+66.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.79, while resistance sits at $93.52.
Market Sentiment: HLNE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.71 (+66.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$76.90 -
$85.78
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 66.4% below Wall St target ($132.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.90 -
$85.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.79
Resistance Level
$93.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.31
Wall Street Target
$132.71
(+66.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 18.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.78
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$64.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$58.15
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$80.81
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$148.54
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$90.79
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$77.17
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.92
Bull Case
$87.57
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.2%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$79.61
(0%)
Market implied 1.2%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$53.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$110.85
(+39.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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