HRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRB - H&R Block, Inc.
$35.71
-0.33 (-0.92%)
▼
5d:
-1.6%
30d:
+15.57%
90d:
+26.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
HRB is down 6.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-07-17 with 811 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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1 traders called HRB this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HRB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HRB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.53
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $35.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.08 to $34.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.1) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.12, while resistance sits at $37.90.
Market Sentiment: HRB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.50 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.12, while resistance sits at $37.90.
Market Sentiment: HRB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.50 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.08 -
$34.46
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HRB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.08 -
$34.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.12
Resistance Level
$37.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.13
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.07
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.44
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$33.82
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$35.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$184.37
(+416%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$51.31
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$43.61
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.59
Bull Case
$41.29
(+16%)
Analyst growth 4.2%, PE expands to 7.1
Base Case
$37.54
(+5%)
Market implied 4.2%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$24.51
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$37.85
(+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 6:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey J Jones II
SELL
128818 shares
2025-11-19
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