HRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRB - H&R Block, Inc.
$40.04
0.70 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
+11.91%
30d:
+3.78%
90d:
+25.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HRB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HRB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.53
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $40.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.83 to $38.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HRB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HRB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.83 -
$38.86
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.83 -
$38.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.10
Resistance Level
$40.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.88
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.88
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$41.74
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$42.62
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.28
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$182.20
(+355%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$57.53
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$48.90
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.59
Bull Case
$45.07
(+13%)
Analyst growth 4.2%, PE expands to 7.7
Base Case
$40.98
(+2%)
Market implied 4.2%, PE stable at 7.0
Bear Case
$26.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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