HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$20.50
1.38 (7.22%)
▲
5d:
+3.27%
30d:
-18.07%
90d:
-10.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 24, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
HSAI is down 24.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $22.5 2026-05-15 with 259 OI. Call ratio: 70% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.92
45.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $20.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.88 to $26.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.2) compared to its historical average (4.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.56, while resistance sits at $24.52. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.69 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.56, while resistance sits at $24.52. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.69 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$20.88 -
$26.59
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.7% below Wall St target ($30.69)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.88 -
$26.59
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.56
Resistance Level
$24.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.20
Wall Street Target
$30.69
(+49.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.4%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.2 vs 4.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$16.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→5)
$22.86
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 53.8%)
$482.74
(+2255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.2, Growth: 53.8%)
$69.19
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.7, Growth: 53.8%)
$58.81
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$50.27
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.6
Base Case
$45.70
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.7
Bear Case
$15.54
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.2 to 4.9
Stabilization Target:
$31.36
(+53.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 AM
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Advanced HSAI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HSAI price and gamma walls.
