HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$23.87
-0.83 (-3.36%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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1 traders called HSAI this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HSAI is down 14.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HSAI is down 14.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.38
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $23.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.36 to $27.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.0) is in line with its historical norms (4.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.88 (+29.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.88 (+29.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$23.36 -
$27.84
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($31.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.36 -
$27.84
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.66
Resistance Level
$29.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.95
Wall Street Target
$31.88
(+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
5.0 vs 4.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.19
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$25.70
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$26.21
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.91
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 52.9%)
$375.84
(+1422%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.9, Growth: 52.9%)
$83.36
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.2, Growth: 52.9%)
$70.86
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.74
Bull Case
$28.82
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$23.87
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.4
Bear Case
$18.26
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
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Advanced HSAI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HSAI price and gamma walls.
