HTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HTZ - Hertz Global Holdings, Inc Common Stock

SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)
$5.53
-0.30 (-5.15%) ▼
5d: -8.6%
30d: -20.77%
90d: +9.72%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

HTZ is up 6.5% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $9 2026-06-18 with 100,078 OI. Put ratio: 71% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HTZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.10
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.41
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HTZ is currently trading at $5.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.65 to $6.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HTZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $4.64. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $5.65 - $6.82
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 16.0% above Wall St target ($4.64)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with 10.5% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.65 - $6.82
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.60
Resistance Level $6.58
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.76
Wall Street Target $4.64 (-16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -30.9%
Profit Margin -7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.0% premium
PE vs Historical 18.8 vs 17.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.70 (+3%)
2-Year Target $5.87 (+6%)
3-Year Target $6.04 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→17) PE COMPRESSION $5.54 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HTZ Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HTZ price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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