HTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTZ - Hertz Global Holdings, Inc Common Stock
$2.12
-0.08 (-3.64%)
▼
5d:
-20.9%
30d:
-59.31%
90d:
-59.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HTZ is down 20.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HTZ is down 20.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.20
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.85
44.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTZ is currently trading at $2.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.25 to $5.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.43 (+108.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.43 (+108.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.25 -
$5.64
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HTZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 108.9% below Wall St target ($4.43)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.25 -
$5.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.02
Resistance Level
$5.63
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.48
Wall Street Target
$4.43
(+108.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.9%
Profit Margin
-7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.72
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→18)
$3.23
(+52%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$4.42
(+108.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+108.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HTZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HTZ price and gamma walls.
