HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$37.29
-0.66 (-1.74%)
▼
5d:
-13.3%
30d:
-4.99%
90d:
-6.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HUBG is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HUBG is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.19
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $37.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.07 to $43.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.47, while resistance sits at $44.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.73 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.47, while resistance sits at $44.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.73 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.07 -
$43.77
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.73)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.07 -
$43.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.47
Resistance Level
$44.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.62
Wall Street Target
$42.73
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.47
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$35.67
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$34.88
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$37.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$58.00
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 9.5%)
$49.01
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$41.66
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$48.04
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.1%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$43.67
(+17%)
Market implied 15.1%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$25.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$39.85
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary Yablon
BUY
4566 shares
2025-12-11
Phillip D Yeager
SELL
32000 shares
2025-12-11
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