HWKN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HWKN - Hawkins Inc
$158.98
2.41 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
-4.89%
30d:
+7.79%
90d:
+8.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HWKN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HWKN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.31
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HWKN is currently trading at $158.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.04 to $168.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.5) is in line with its historical norms (34.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HWKN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $152.00, while resistance sits at $174.12.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.00 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HWKN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $152.00, while resistance sits at $174.12.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.00 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$151.04 -
$168.66
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($188.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$151.04 -
$168.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.20
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.00
Resistance Level
$174.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.50
Wall Street Target
$188.00
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
37.5 vs 34.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$160.64
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$164.82
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$169.10
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$156.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.5, Growth: 7.6%)
$195.07
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.6%)
$114.64
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 7.6%)
$97.45
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.95
Bull Case
$188.15
(+20%)
Analyst growth 5.7%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case
$171.05
(+9%)
Market implied 5.7%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$110.04
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HWKN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James A Faulconbridge
BUY
1500 shares
2026-02-04
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Advanced HWKN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HWKN price and gamma walls.
