IBP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$209.19
-8.12 (-3.74%)
▼
5d:
-4.91%
30d:
-25.86%
90d:
-39.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IBP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$424.82
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$263.78
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $209.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $234.90 to $309.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $197.80, while resistance sits at $302.95. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: IBP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.17 (+19.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $197.80, while resistance sits at $302.95. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: IBP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.17 (+19.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$234.90 -
$309.45
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($249.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$234.90 -
$309.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.80
Resistance Level
$302.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.24
Wall Street Target
$249.17
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.3%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 24.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$170.58
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$154.03
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→25)
$209.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$363.35
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$300.30
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$255.26
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.37
Bull Case
$292.57
(+40%)
Analyst growth 22.4%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$265.97
(+27%)
Market implied 22.4%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$147.77
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 24.8
Stabilization Target:
$284.41
(+36.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-24
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
Janet E Jackson
SELL
1410 shares
2026-03-09
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