IBP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$228.26
4.24 (1.89%)
▲
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
+11.73%
90d:
-16.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IBP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$370.98
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$230.35
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $228.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.44 to $223.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.4) compared to its historical average (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IBP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IBP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$202.44 -
$223.25
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($233.18)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.44 -
$223.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$195.40
Resistance Level
$224.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.41
Wall Street Target
$233.18
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.3%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 23.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$217.99
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$208.18
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$198.81
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$227.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$328.74
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$308.02
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 10.5%)
$261.81
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.36
Bull Case
$294.48
(+29%)
Analyst growth 19.5%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$267.71
(+17%)
Market implied 19.5%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$152.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$261.74
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-24
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
Janet E Jackson
SELL
1410 shares
2026-03-09
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