JACK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$10.97
-0.01 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
-20.45%
30d:
-11.25%
90d:
-47.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
4d
Smart Money Distribution
JACK is up 10.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 587 OI. Put ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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1 traders called JACK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JACK is down 20.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JACK is down 20.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.45
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.94
21.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $10.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.57 to $13.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.9) compared to its historical average (4.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.58, while resistance sits at $14.27.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.24 (+93.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.58, while resistance sits at $14.27.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.24 (+93.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.57 -
$13.39
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JACK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 93.4% below Wall St target ($21.24)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.57 -
$13.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.58
Resistance Level
$14.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.86
Wall Street Target
$21.24
(+93.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.6%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.9 vs 4.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.88
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.89
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.00
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$11.18
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$118.42
(+979%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$15.39
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$13.08
(+19%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.9 to 4.0
Stabilization Target:
$15.34
(+39.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lance F Tucker
SELL
3150 shares
2026-01-28
Richard D Cook
SELL
292 shares
2025-12-30
Sarah L Super
SELL
434 shares
2025-12-30
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Advanced JACK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JACK price and gamma walls.
