JACK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$17.20
-0.21 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+34.17%
30d:
+34.9%
90d:
+77.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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1 traders called JACK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: JACK is 16.8% above its trading range ($14.72). Market expects 6.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: JACK is 16.8% above its trading range ($14.72). Market expects 6.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.82
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $17.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.23 to $14.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (3.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JACK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JACK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.23 -
$14.72
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JACK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($16.04)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.6% growth with -4.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.8% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.23 -
$14.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.92
Resistance Level
$13.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.70
Wall Street Target
$16.04
(-6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 3.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.34
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$19.55
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$20.84
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.29
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$98.59
(+473%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$21.28
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$17.65
(+3%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lance F Tucker
SELL
3150 shares
2026-01-28
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