JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$43.48
-0.96 (-2.16%)
▼
5d:
-5.48%
30d:
-3.14%
90d:
-7.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.93
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $43.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.70 to $46.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.5) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 304.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+26.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+26.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$44.70 -
$46.48
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($55.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.70 -
$46.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.59
Resistance Level
$47.46
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.50
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
304.5%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.74
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$38.17
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$35.77
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$43.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 213.3%)
$172.74
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 213.3%)
$146.74
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 213.3%)
$124.73
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$52.88
(+21.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Casey Sheahan
SELL
7580 shares
2026-02-23
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