JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$39.76
0.33 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
-25.68%
30d:
-23.33%
90d:
-17.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JOUT is down 25.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JOUT is down 25.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.78
40.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $39.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.55 to $53.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 304.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+38.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+38.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.55 -
$53.97
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.3% below Wall St target ($55.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -25.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.55 -
$53.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.25
Resistance Level
$53.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.92
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+38.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
304.5%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 23.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.78
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$32.21
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$28.99
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→24)
$40.26
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 213.3%)
$174.80
(+340%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 213.3%)
$134.19
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 213.3%)
$114.06
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$55.22
(+38.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Casey Sheahan
SELL
7580 shares
2026-02-23
Edward F Lang
SELL
2000 shares
2025-12-17
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