JRVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JRVR - James River Group Holdings, Ltd
$4.46
0.07 (1.59%)
▲
5d:
+10.67%
30d:
+11.22%
90d:
-26.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
29d
Get Alerted When JRVR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JRVR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JRVR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.38
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.44
30.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JRVR is currently trading at $4.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.91 to $4.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (4.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRVR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JRVR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.38 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRVR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JRVR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.38 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.91 -
$4.28
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
34th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($5.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.91 -
$4.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.55
(12.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.80
Resistance Level
$4.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.02
Wall Street Target
$5.38
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.3%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 4.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.19
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$3.93
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$3.69
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$4.50
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.1%)
$46.10
(+934%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 24.1%)
$8.52
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 24.1%)
$7.24
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$9.66
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$8.78
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$2.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 4.9
Stabilization Target:
$5.43
(+21.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JRVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Insurance - Specialty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Specialty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RYAN
Ryan Specialty Group Hol… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$42 | 63 BUY |
|
AXS
AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd |
BUY
9 analysts |
$122 | 62 BUY |
|
NMIH
NMI Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$46 | 60 BUY |
|
ESNT
Essent Group Ltd |
BUY
8 analysts |
$68 | 60 BUY |
|
RDN
Radian Group Inc |
BUY
6 analysts |
$44 | 61 BUY |
Advanced JRVR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JRVR price and gamma walls.
