KBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KBH - KB Home
$61.16
0.54 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
+18.87%
90d:
+19.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KBH trades at premium valuation expecting 7.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: KBH trades at premium valuation expecting 7.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBH is currently trading at $61.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.11 to $57.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KBH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KBH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$49.11 -
$57.25
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KBH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($58.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.1% growth with -27.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.11 -
$57.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.54
Resistance Level
$54.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.24
Wall Street Target
$58.25
(-4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.4%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 10.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.50
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$70.15
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$75.13
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 38.6%)
$267.90
(+338%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 38.6%)
$162.86
(+166%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 38.6%)
$132.84
(+117%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.11
Bull Case
$74.94
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.4%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$68.13
(+11%)
Market implied 12.4%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$41.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KBH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KBH price and gamma walls.
