KBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KBR - KBR, Inc.

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$36.41
1.74 (5.02%) ▲
5d: +12.9%
30d: +1.93%
90d: -2.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 26d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.73
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.64
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KBR is currently trading at $36.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.27 to $35.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: KBR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.57 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $33.27 - $35.67
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($46.57)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.27 - $35.67
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.68
Resistance Level $36.68
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.78
Wall Street Target $46.57 (+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.7%
Profit Margin 5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.8 vs 9.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $35.75 (-2%)
2-Year Target $35.11 (-4%)
3-Year Target $34.48 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $36.53 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.7%) $103.77 (+185%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 4.7%) $41.82 (+15%)
Bear: (PE: 7.5, Growth: 4.7%) $35.54 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case $46.67 (+28%)
Analyst growth 22.4%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case $42.43 (+17%)
Market implied 22.4%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case $23.58 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.3
Stabilization Target: $38.58 (+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.0%
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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