KVYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KVYO - Klaviyo, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$15.21
-0.56 (-3.55%) β–Ό
5d: -31.49%
30d: -14.5%
90d: -20.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

KVYO is up 14.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $12.5 2026-07-17 with 1,658 OI. Put ratio: 66% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KVYO is down 31.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.32
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.76
47.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KVYO is currently trading at $15.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.11 to $20.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KVYO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.73 (+95.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $17.11 - $20.84
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 95.4% below Wall St target ($29.73)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -31.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.11 - $20.84
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.14
Resistance Level $23.52
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.75
Wall Street Target $29.73 (+95.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.9%
Profit Margin -0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -16.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.8 vs 25.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -16.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.69 (-10%)
2-Year Target $12.32 (-19%)
3-Year Target $11.09 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15β†’26) $19.24 (+27%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 21.2%) $40.24 (+165%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 21.2%) $27.05 (+78%)
Bear: (PE: 12.5, Growth: 21.2%) $23.00 (+51%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 25.6
Stabilization Target: $26.40 (+73.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +73.5%
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Last updated: May 10, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Landon Edmond SELL 9623 shares 2026-04-20
Amanda Whalen SELL 14000 shares 2026-04-16
Andrew Bialecki SELL 200000 shares 2026-04-14

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Advanced KVYO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KVYO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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