LCII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$113.97
3.01 (2.71%)
▲
5d:
-2.11%
30d:
-5.53%
90d:
-26.37%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LCII appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.2% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LCII appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.2% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$213.39
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.50
14.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $113.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.12 to $124.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $102.14, while resistance sits at $119.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.00 (+28.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $102.14, while resistance sits at $119.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.00 (+28.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$114.12 -
$124.01
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.1% below Wall St target ($146.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.12 -
$124.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.14
Resistance Level
$119.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.33
Wall Street Target
$146.00
(+28.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.4%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.76
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$98.15
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$91.08
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$114.17
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$318.17
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$163.53
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 12.8%)
$139.00
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.16
Bull Case
$153.45
(+38%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$139.50
(+26%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$76.94
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$142.86
(+25.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-13
Jason Lippert
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-24
Jamie Schnur
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-23
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