LCII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$103.36
1.32 (1.29%)
▲
5d:
+7.84%
30d:
-3.24%
90d:
-15.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LCII appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LCII appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.52
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.64
15.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $103.36, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.94 to $106.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $92.48, while resistance sits at $115.19.
Market Sentiment: LCII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.20 (+38.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $92.48, while resistance sits at $115.19.
Market Sentiment: LCII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.20 (+38.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$90.94 -
$106.96
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($143.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.94 -
$106.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.48
Resistance Level
$115.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.34
Wall Street Target
$143.20
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.4%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.19
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$87.67
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$80.75
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$103.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$313.55
(+203%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 12.9%)
$148.87
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$126.54
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.16
Bull Case
$137.49
(+33%)
Analyst growth 22.5%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$124.99
(+21%)
Market implied 22.5%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$69.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$131.94
(+27.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-13
Jason Lippert
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-24
Jamie Schnur
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-23
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