LSPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSPD - Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
$9.04
-0.39 (-4.14%)
▼
5d:
-7.85%
30d:
+5.85%
90d:
-22.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LSPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.89
29.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $9.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.65 to $9.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: LSPD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.88 (+42.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: LSPD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.88 (+42.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.65 -
$9.50
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.5% below Wall St target ($12.88)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.65 -
$9.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.07
Resistance Level
$10.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.40
Wall Street Target
$12.88
(+42.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Profit Margin
-58.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 15.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.56
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$8.11
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$7.68
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$9.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 41.9%)
$39.68
(+339%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 41.9%)
$25.80
(+185%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 41.9%)
$21.93
(+143%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$10.66
(+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 5:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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