LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$208.21
0.86 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
-2.22%
90d:
+28.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$346.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$214.89
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $208.21, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.39 to $219.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.3) compared to its historical average (26.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $197.00, while resistance sits at $228.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $184.64. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $197.00, while resistance sits at $228.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $184.64. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$205.39 -
$219.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.3% above Wall St target ($184.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.39 -
$219.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.00
Resistance Level
$228.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.29
Wall Street Target
$184.64
(-11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
29.3 vs 26.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.75
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$225.63
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$234.88
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$208.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.3, Growth: 25.0%)
$406.50
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.0%)
$302.28
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 25.0%)
$256.94
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.64
Bull Case
$251.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.8
Base Case
$208.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$159.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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