MANH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MANH - Manhattan Associates Inc
$151.04
4.63 (3.16%)
▲
5d:
+18.12%
30d:
-2.58%
90d:
+12.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MANH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MANH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$213.85
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MANH is currently trading at $151.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.83 to $150.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $135.47, while resistance sits at $162.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MANH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.00 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $135.47, while resistance sits at $162.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MANH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.00 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$133.83 -
$150.38
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($184.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$133.83 -
$150.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$12.92
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$135.48
Resistance Level
$162.77
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.37
Wall Street Target
$184.00
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.4 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$149.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$148.93
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$147.89
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$150.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$206.94
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$177.63
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.1%)
$150.99
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.56
Bull Case
$269.29
(+78%)
Analyst growth 67.2%, PE expands to 45.2
Base Case
$244.81
(+62%)
Market implied 67.2%, PE stable at 41.1
Bear Case
$99.56
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.4 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$154.17
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MANH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Stewart Gantt
SELL
7300 shares
2026-04-24
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Advanced MANH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MANH price and gamma walls.
