MATW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATW - Matthews International Corp
$28.22
-0.07 (-0.25%)
▼
5d:
+3.9%
30d:
+11.98%
90d:
+8.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 52.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 52.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATW is currently trading at $28.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.42 to $27.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 194.6) compared to its historical average (54.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 52.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+34.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+34.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.42 -
$27.67
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.7% below Wall St target ($38.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 52.8% growth expectation is conservative given 752% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.42 -
$27.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.52
Resistance Level
$28.79
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
194.62
Wall Street Target
$38.00
(+34.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
751.8%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+52.8% premium
PE vs Historical
194.6 vs 54.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+52.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.33
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$63.49
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$95.24
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 195→55)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.72
(-5%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 194.6, Growth: -85.5%)
$20.57
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: -85.5%)
$2.18
(-92%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: -85.5%)
$1.85
(-93%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 39.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.71
Bull Case
$15.56
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$14.15
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 39.9
Bear Case
$19.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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