MATW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MATW - Matthews International Corp

NONFERROUS FOUNDRIES (CASTINGS)
$28.22
-0.07 (-0.25%) ▼
5d: +3.9%
30d: +11.98%
90d: +8.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 TODAY

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 52.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MATW is currently trading at $28.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.42 to $27.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 194.6) compared to its historical average (54.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 52.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MATW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+34.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $25.42 - $27.67
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.7% below Wall St target ($38.00)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 52.8% growth expectation is conservative given 752% recent growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $25.42 - $27.67
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.52
Resistance Level $28.79
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 194.62
Wall Street Target $38.00 (+34.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -29.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 751.8%
Profit Margin 1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +52.8% premium
PE vs Historical 194.6 vs 54.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +52.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $42.33 (+50%)
2-Year Target $63.49 (+125%)
3-Year Target $95.24 (+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 195→55) PE COMPRESSION $26.72 (-5%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 194.6, Growth: -85.5%) $20.57 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: -85.5%) $2.18 (-92%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: -85.5%) $1.85 (-93%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 39.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.71
Bull Case $15.56 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case $14.15 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 39.9
Bear Case $19.24 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: April 29, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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