MBUU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$26.22
-1.02 (-3.74%)
▼
5d:
-12.86%
30d:
+6.03%
90d:
-16.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBUU is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBUU is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.59
39.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $26.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.65 to $27.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.84, while resistance sits at $32.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBUU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+33.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.84, while resistance sits at $32.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBUU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+33.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.65 -
$27.47
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.65 -
$27.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.84
Resistance Level
$32.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.75
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$21.24
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$26.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 78.7%)
$200.37
(+664%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 78.7%)
$88.49
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 78.7%)
$75.22
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$36.05
(+37.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 7:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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