MBUU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$25.07
-0.57 (-2.22%)
▼
5d:
-13.88%
30d:
-8.9%
90d:
-1.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBUU is down 13.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBUU is down 13.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.86
35.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $25.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.46 to $28.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+39.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+39.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.46 -
$28.29
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.6% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.46 -
$28.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.15
Resistance Level
$29.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.98
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+39.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 12.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.06
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$21.22
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$19.52
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$25.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 72.3%)
$184.58
(+636%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 72.3%)
$84.61
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 72.3%)
$71.92
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$32.14
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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