MGRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$117.91
-1.98 (-1.65%)
▼
5d:
-4.38%
30d:
+10.27%
90d:
+5.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When MGRC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.33
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $117.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.57 to $119.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $113.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $113.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$109.57 -
$119.93
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.57 -
$119.93
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.98
Resistance Level
$113.70
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.82
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.32
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$120.76
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$122.21
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$206.62
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$159.57
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 10.6%)
$135.63
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.30
Bull Case
$146.74
(+25%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$133.40
(+13%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$81.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 12:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Rental & Leasing Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Rental & Leasing Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
URI
United Rentals Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$1137 | 54 HOLD |
|
FTAI
FTAI Aviation Ltd. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$339 | 54 HOLD |
|
AER
AerCap Holdings NV |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$166 | 63 BUY |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$65 | 64 BUY |
|
PRG
PROG Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$46 | 60 BUY |
