MGRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$111.75
-3.81 (-3.30%)
▼
5d:
-2.52%
30d:
-3.15%
90d:
-5.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.33
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $111.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.05 to $116.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.25, while resistance sits at $116.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.25, while resistance sits at $116.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$111.05 -
$116.45
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.05 -
$116.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.25
Resistance Level
$116.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.49
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.14
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$116.72
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$117.30
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$115.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$209.09
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$156.39
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$132.93
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.33
Bull Case
$139.10
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$126.46
(+9%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$77.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilda Malek
SELL
829 shares
2025-12-15
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