MPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPX - Marine Products Corp.
$8.18
-0.05 (-0.61%)
▼
5d:
-3.31%
30d:
+7.63%
90d:
+3.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MPX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MPX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.56
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPX is currently trading at $8.18, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.57 to $8.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.71, while resistance sits at $8.99.
Market Sentiment: MPX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.71, while resistance sits at $8.99.
Market Sentiment: MPX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$7.57 -
$8.26
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.57 -
$8.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.71
Resistance Level
$8.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.36
Wall Street Target
$8.00
(-2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-45.0%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.16
(0%)
2-Year Target
$8.15
(0%)
3-Year Target
$8.13
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$8.20
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$18.11
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.3
Base Case
$16.46
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.2
Bear Case
$5.60
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$8.25
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 8:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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