MTRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRX - Matrix Service Co
$12.53
-0.82 (-6.14%)
▼
5d:
-9.33%
30d:
-8.54%
90d:
+6.55%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
Get Alerted When MTRX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTRX is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MTRX is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.36
6.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRX is currently trading at $12.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.17 to $13.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.0) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+59.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+59.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.17 -
$13.93
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MTRX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.6% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.17 -
$13.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.06
(8.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.70
Resistance Level
$14.28
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.03
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+59.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.0%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.07
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$13.63
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$14.22
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 178.0%)
$51.09
(+308%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 178.0%)
$42.29
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 178.0%)
$35.95
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 7:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MTRX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nancy E Austin
SELL
4193 shares
2026-02-18
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$761 | 57 HOLD |
|
MTZ
MasTec Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$466 | 56 HOLD |
|
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. |
BUY
17 analysts |
$158 | 58 HOLD |
|
ACM
Aecom Technology Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$105 | 58 HOLD |
|
STN
Stantec Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$94 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced MTRX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MTRX price and gamma walls.
