NL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NL - NL Industries, Inc.
$7.61
0.94 (14.09%)
▲
5d:
+27.47%
30d:
+30.76%
90d:
+20.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NL is 20.0% above its trading range ($6.34). Market expects 8.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NL is 20.0% above its trading range ($6.34). Market expects 8.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.31
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NL is currently trading at $7.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.62 to $6.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $7.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 14.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: NL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $7.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 14.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: NL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.62 -
$6.34
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+20.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+14.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 21.2% above Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.7% growth expectation is conservative given 551% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 20.0% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.62 -
$6.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.75
Resistance Level
$7.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.73
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(-21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
551.1%
Profit Margin
-21.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 6.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.27
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$8.99
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$9.77
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.62
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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