NL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NL - NL Industries, Inc.
$6.28
0.34 (5.72%)
▲
5d:
+9.03%
30d:
+6.26%
90d:
+8.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When NL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.43
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NL is currently trading at $6.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.57 to $6.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.65, while resistance sits at $8.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: NL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.65, while resistance sits at $8.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: NL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.57 -
$6.82
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.57 -
$6.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.65
Resistance Level
$8.60
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.20
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(-4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
551.1%
Profit Margin
-21.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.37
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$6.46
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$6.55
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Security & Protection Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Security & Protection Services by analyst ratings.
