NNN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NNN - NNN REIT, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$43.72
-0.02 (-0.05%) ▼
5d: -1.44%
30d: -2.26%
90d: -1.4%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NNN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.17
Based on 3.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.15
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NNN is currently trading at $43.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.53 to $44.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $43.53 - $44.59
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.97)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 4.1% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $43.53 - $44.59
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $43.34
Resistance Level $45.00
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.81
Wall Street Target $45.97 (+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.7%
Profit Margin 41.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 20.8 vs 20.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.85 (+0%)
2-Year Target $43.98 (+1%)
3-Year Target $44.11 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→21) PE COMPRESSION $43.67 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 2.0%) $49.27 (+13%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 2.0%) $46.46 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 17.7, Growth: 2.0%) $39.49 (-10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case $49.05 (+12%)
Analyst growth 2.5%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case $44.59 (+2%)
Market implied 2.5%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case $29.59 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen A Horn Jr SELL 33192 shares 2026-03-09
Jonathan Adamo SELL 6000 shares 2026-03-06

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