NOK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOK - Nokia Corporation
$14.46
-0.25 (-1.70%)
▼
5d:
+17.09%
30d:
+44.74%
90d:
+107.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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12 traders called NOK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NOK is 10.0% above its trading range ($13.15). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NOK is 10.0% above its trading range ($13.15). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.07
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $14.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.68 to $13.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.8) compared to its historical average (19.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.13, while resistance sits at $15.19.
Market Sentiment: NOK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.51. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.13, while resistance sits at $15.19.
Market Sentiment: NOK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.51. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.68 -
$13.15
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+10.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.5% above Wall St target ($12.51)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.6% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.68 -
$13.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.13
Resistance Level
$15.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.81
Wall Street Target
$12.51
(-13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.8%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.6% premium
PE vs Historical
29.8 vs 19.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.57
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$18.99
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$21.76
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.8, Growth: 20.7%)
$25.43
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 20.7%)
$18.80
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 20.7%)
$15.98
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.44
Bull Case
$17.76
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$14.71
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$11.25
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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