NTGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTGR - NETGEAR, Inc.
$21.50
-1.70 (-7.33%)
▼
5d:
-5.62%
30d:
-21.1%
90d:
-6.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTGR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NTGR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTGR is currently trading at $21.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.91 to $25.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.4) compared to its historical average (56.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: NTGR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+62.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: NTGR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+62.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.91 -
$25.75
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTGR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 62.8% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.91 -
$25.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.12
(9.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.33
Resistance Level
$24.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.44
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+62.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.7%
Profit Margin
-3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.4 vs 56.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.35
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.42
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→56)
$24.86
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.4, Growth: 203.4%)
$72.56
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 203.4%)
$44.60
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 203.4%)
$37.91
(+76%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.4 to 56.2
Stabilization Target:
$34.10
(+58.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+58.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Pramod Badjate
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-02
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Advanced NTGR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTGR price and gamma walls.
