O Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

O - Realty Income Corporation

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$61.71
0.59 (0.97%) ▲
5d: -1.04%
30d: -5.19%
90d: -7.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your O Gains
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

O is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 6,575 OI. Call ratio: 60% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: O shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.03
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: O is currently trading at $61.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.21 to $64.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.9) is in line with its historical norms (36.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, O is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: O has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.45 (+10.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $62.21 - $64.28
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($68.45)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $62.21 - $64.28
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $61.11
Resistance Level $64.08
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.93
Wall Street Target $68.45 (+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.9%
Profit Margin 18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 33.9 vs 36.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $60.17 (-3%)
2-Year Target $58.66 (-5%)
3-Year Target $57.20 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→37) $61.69 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.9, Growth: 14.8%) $93.46 (+52%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.8%) $60.87 (-1%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 14.8%) $51.74 (-16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case $101.59 (+66%)
Analyst growth 49.1%, PE expands to 55.9
Base Case $92.36 (+51%)
Market implied 49.1%, PE stable at 50.8
Bear Case $42.13 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.9 to 36.6
Stabilization Target: $66.56 (+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.9%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michelle Bushore SELL 7400 shares 2026-04-02
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24

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