OPXS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OPXS - Optex Systems Holdings, INC
$12.30
-0.41 (-3.26%)
▼
5d:
-2.84%
30d:
+9.63%
90d:
-5.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OPXS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OPXS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.00
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OPXS is currently trading at $12.30, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.62 to $12.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPXS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.90, while resistance sits at $13.84. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: OPXS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.20 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPXS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.90, while resistance sits at $13.84. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: OPXS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.20 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.62 -
$12.39
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($16.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with -10.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.62 -
$12.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.90
Resistance Level
$13.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.13
Wall Street Target
$16.20
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.2%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.12
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$13.54
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$13.98
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.76
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 16.9%)
$31.50
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 16.9%)
$20.30
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 16.9%)
$17.26
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.59
Bull Case
$22.27
(+75%)
Analyst growth 52.5%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$20.24
(+59%)
Market implied 52.5%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$9.02
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OPXS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Danny Robert Schoening
SELL
28924 shares
2026-01-08
Danny Robert Schoening
SELL
27946 shares
2026-01-07
Danny Robert Schoening
SELL
14066 shares
2026-01-06
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