OTTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OTTR - Otter Tail Corp

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$89.59
1.08 (1.22%) ▲
5d: +3.25%
30d: +0.29%
90d: +2.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OTTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.64
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $89.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.22 to $89.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $89.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OTTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $86.22 - $89.15
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $86.22 - $89.15
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $82.74
Resistance Level $89.92
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.84
Wall Street Target $90.50 (+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.8%
Profit Margin 21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium
PE vs Historical 16.8 vs 15.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $92.01 (+3%)
2-Year Target $94.49 (+6%)
3-Year Target $97.04 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→16) PE COMPRESSION $89.32 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: -8.8%) $88.38 (+-1%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: -8.8%) $67.90 (-24%)
Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: -8.8%) $57.72 (-36%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.66
Bull Case $77.77 (-13%)
Analyst growth -20.1%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case $70.70 (-21%)
Market implied -20.1%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case $60.19 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 15, 2026 3:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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