PECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$42.06
0.50 (1.20%)
▲
5d:
-0.36%
30d:
+6.94%
90d:
+12.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.61
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $42.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.93 to $41.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 54.9) is in line with its historical norms (53.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$39.93 -
$41.89
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.93 -
$41.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.81
Resistance Level
$42.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.92
Wall Street Target
$43.23
(+2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.8%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
54.9 vs 53.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.52
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$42.99
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$43.46
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55→53)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 54.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$52.98
(+26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$21.01
(-50%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.0%)
$17.86
(-58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 45.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$38.34
(-9%)
Analyst growth -16.8%, PE expands to 50.1
Base Case
$34.86
(-17%)
Market implied -16.8%, PE stable at 45.5
Bear Case
$28.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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