PECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$39.72
0.36 (0.91%)
▲
5d:
-0.82%
30d:
+2.32%
90d:
+4.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.24
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $39.72, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.43 to $40.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 52.6) is in line with its historical norms (53.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.43 -
$40.03
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.43 -
$40.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.90
Resistance Level
$40.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.64
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.8%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
52.6 vs 53.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.64
(0%)
2-Year Target
$39.56
(0%)
3-Year Target
$39.48
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→53)
$39.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.6, Growth: -19.8%)
$39.48
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: -19.8%)
$16.53
(-58%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: -19.8%)
$14.05
(-65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 43.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$35.83
(-10%)
Analyst growth -18.0%, PE expands to 47.5
Base Case
$32.57
(-18%)
Market implied -18.0%, PE stable at 43.2
Bear Case
$27.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 52.6 to 53.0
Stabilization Target:
$39.99
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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