PINE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PINE - Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$18.73
-0.27 (-1.42%) ▼
5d: -3.25%
30d: -4.34%
90d: -8.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PINE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.8% annual earnings decline despite 76% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.98
Based on 0.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.44
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PINE is currently trading at $18.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.93 to $19.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 39.0) compared to its historical average (51.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 75.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PINE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.18 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $18.93 - $19.65
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.18)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.93 - $19.65
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.67
Resistance Level $19.92
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 39.02
Wall Street Target $21.18 (+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 75.7%
Profit Margin 1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 39.0 vs 51.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.08 (-9%)
2-Year Target $15.58 (-17%)
3-Year Target $14.21 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 39→52) $18.75 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 39.0, Growth: -4.0%) $16.57 (+-12%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: -4.0%) $9.37 (-50%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: -4.0%) $7.97 (-58%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.0 to 51.5
Stabilization Target: $24.72 (+32.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +32.0%
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew C Richardson SELL 2750 shares 2026-03-31
Andrew C Richardson SELL 1000 shares 2025-12-11

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Advanced PINE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PINE price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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