PRKS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PRKS - United Parks & Resorts Inc.

SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
$36.16
0.03 (0.08%) ▲
5d: -1.01%
30d: +0.25%
90d: +3.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRKS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.42
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.83
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRKS is currently trading at $36.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.17 to $36.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.73, while resistance sits at $41.42.

Market Sentiment: PRKS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $34.17 - $36.98
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($44.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $34.17 - $36.98
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.73
Resistance Level $41.42
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.16
Wall Street Target $44.00 (+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -44.1%
Profit Margin 9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.2 vs 8.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $35.52 (-2%)
2-Year Target $34.91 (-3%)
3-Year Target $34.32 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→9) $36.16 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 4.1%) $110.33 (+205%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 4.1%) $40.80 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 6.9, Growth: 4.1%) $34.68 (-4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.66
Bull Case $64.98 (+80%)
Analyst growth 66.4%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case $59.07 (+64%)
Market implied 66.4%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case $24.14 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.6
Stabilization Target: $38.07 (+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.4%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher L Finazzo SELL 7200 shares 2025-12-15

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