PSEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PSEC - Prospect Capital Corporation

$2.70
-0.03 (-1.10%) ▼
5d: -1.82%
30d: +7.57%
90d: -1.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026 14d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.29
Based on -3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.42
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PSEC is currently trading at $2.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.56 to $2.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PSEC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $2.56 - $2.75
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 69.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($2.50)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $2.56 - $2.75
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.68
Resistance Level $2.91
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.50
Wall Street Target $2.50 (-8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.2%
Profit Margin -34.9%
PE vs Historical 6.5 vs 6.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): 0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.73 (0%)
2-Year Target $2.73 (0%)
3-Year Target $2.73 (0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) $2.73 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: -10.6%) $6.31 (+131%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: -10.6%) $1.99 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 5.5, Growth: -10.6%) $1.69 (-38%)
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Last updated: April 29, 2026 9:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:56 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
M Grier Eliasek BUY 942800 shares 2026-02-11

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