Is PTC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PTC is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: PTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of PTC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PTC to be between $135.60 and $143.33. The current price is $139.85.

What is the analyst price target for PTC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PTC is $183.89. This implies a potential upside of 31.5% from current levels.

PTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PTC - PTC, INC

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$139.85

-0.96 (-0.68%) ▼

5d: -5.28%

30d: +2.39%

90d: -7.26%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your PTC Gains

Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

PTC is down 5.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $160 2026-07-17 with 1,740 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$215.66

Based on 5.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$133.91

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PTC is currently trading at $139.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $135.60 to $143.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 268.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PTC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $132.76, while resistance sits at $153.98.

Market Sentiment: PTC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.89 (+31.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $135.60 - $143.33

Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 86.5%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($183.89)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $135.60 - $143.33

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$7.14 (5.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $132.77

Resistance Level $153.98

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.24

Wall Street Target $183.89 (+31.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 268.9%

Profit Margin 41.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 16.2 vs 18.9 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $133.00 (-5%)

2-Year Target $126.48 (-10%)

3-Year Target $120.28 (-14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→19) $139.97 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.6%) $236.72 (+69%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 7.6%) $174.44 (+25%)

Bear: (PE: 13.8, Growth: 7.6%) $148.27 (+6%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 13.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.41

Bull Case $128.12 (-8%)

Analyst growth -17.3%, PE expands to 14.9

Base Case $116.47 (-17%)

Market implied -17.3%, PE stable at 13.5

Bear Case $95.75 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 18.9

Stabilization Target: $162.74 (+16.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +16.4%

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Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

Corinna Lathan SELL 675 shares 2026-03-16

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-24

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