PTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTC - PTC, INC
$124.55
4.77 (3.98%)
▲
5d:
+10.66%
30d:
-12.5%
90d:
-12.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.1% annual earnings decline despite 269% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.1% annual earnings decline despite 269% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$202.96
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.02
1.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTC is currently trading at $124.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.14 to $138.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 268.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PTC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.25 (+43.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PTC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.25 (+43.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$114.14 -
$138.67
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.9% below Wall St target ($179.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.14 -
$138.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.17
Resistance Level
$125.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.43
Wall Street Target
$179.25
(+43.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
268.9%
Profit Margin
41.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.71
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$107.49
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$99.86
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$124.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$230.10
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$152.48
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$129.61
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.40
Bull Case
$109.33
(-12%)
Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$99.39
(-20%)
Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$81.45
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$155.33
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Corinna Lathan
SELL
675 shares
2026-03-16
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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