PTON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTON - Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$5.18
-0.08 (-1.62%)
▼
5d:
-8.57%
30d:
+6.48%
90d:
+22.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
PTON is down 7.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-07-17 with 47,636 OI. Call ratio: 76% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
Get Alerted When PTON Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
3 traders called PTON this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PTON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PTON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.69
22.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTON is currently trading at $5.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.82 to $5.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTON is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.97 (+51.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTON is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.97 (+51.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.82 -
$5.41
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PTON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.5% below Wall St target ($7.97)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.82 -
$5.41
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.07
Resistance Level
$6.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.69
Wall Street Target
$7.97
(+51.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.17
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$5.08
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$5.00
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$5.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 102.2%)
$19.87
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 102.2%)
$17.75
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 102.2%)
$15.09
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 16.26 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.32
Bull Case
$6.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$5.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$4.02
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$5.53
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 1:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PTON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles Peter Kirol
SELL
3670 shares
2026-04-20
Charles Peter Kirol
SELL
19806 shares
2026-04-16
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
Top Rated Leisure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Leisure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PLNT
Planet Fitness Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$77 | 53 HOLD |
|
AS
Amer Sports, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$49 | 61 BUY |
|
HAS
Hasbro Inc |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$114 | 61 BUY |
|
FUN
Six Flags Entertainment … |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$26 | 55 HOLD |
|
MAT
Mattel Inc |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$19 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced PTON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PTON price and gamma walls.
