PTON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTON - Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$5.75
-0.15 (-2.54%)
▼
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
-9.31%
90d:
+33.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.95
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTON is currently trading at $5.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.55 to $6.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTON is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $6.54.
Market Sentiment: PTON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.09 (+40.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTON is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $6.54.
Market Sentiment: PTON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.09 (+40.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.55 -
$6.09
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.8% below Wall St target ($8.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.55 -
$6.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.45
Resistance Level
$6.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.71
Wall Street Target
$8.09
(+40.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Profit Margin
0.9%
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.75
(0%)
2-Year Target
$5.75
(0%)
3-Year Target
$5.75
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 112.1%)
$20.41
(+255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 112.1%)
$19.41
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 112.1%)
$16.50
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.68 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.29
Bull Case
$6.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$5.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$4.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles Peter Kirol
SELL
3670 shares
2026-04-20
Charles Peter Kirol
SELL
19806 shares
2026-04-16
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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Advanced PTON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PTON price and gamma walls.
