R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$260.72
-5.28 (-1.98%)
▼
5d:
-2.69%
30d:
+1.03%
90d:
+26.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: R shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: R shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$414.23
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$257.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $260.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $255.31 to $273.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $244.86, while resistance sits at $278.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $244.86, while resistance sits at $278.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$255.31 -
$273.10
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($274.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$255.31 -
$273.10
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$244.86
Resistance Level
$278.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.83
Wall Street Target
$274.25
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$269.85
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$279.29
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$289.06
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$261.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.2%)
$665.12
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 20.2%)
$452.97
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 20.2%)
$385.02
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.03
Bull Case
$427.52
(+64%)
Analyst growth 46.1%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$388.65
(+49%)
Market implied 46.1%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$180.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John J Diez
SELL
9632 shares
2026-02-25
Robert E Sanchez
SELL
41779 shares
2026-02-24
Rajeev Ravindran
SELL
2696 shares
2026-02-19
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