R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$228.57
-2.49 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
-4.42%
30d:
+3.25%
90d:
+6.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: R shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: R shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$397.37
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$246.74
7.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $228.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $218.81 to $244.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $224.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.88 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $224.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.88 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$218.81 -
$244.53
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($260.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$218.81 -
$244.53
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$224.93
Resistance Level
$247.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.21
Wall Street Target
$260.88
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$232.22
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$233.38
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$234.54
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$230.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 19.9%)
$664.49
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 19.9%)
$398.22
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 19.9%)
$338.49
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.05
Bull Case
$362.19
(+57%)
Analyst growth 45.2%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$329.26
(+43%)
Market implied 45.2%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$154.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John J Diez
SELL
9632 shares
2026-02-25
Robert E Sanchez
SELL
41779 shares
2026-02-24
Rajeev Ravindran
SELL
2696 shares
2026-02-19
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