ROAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROAD - Construction Partners, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$107.92
-1.18 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
-14.21%
30d:
-3.15%
90d:
-4.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ROAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ROAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$186.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.53
6.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROAD is currently trading at $107.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.89 to $122.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.2) compared to its historical average (32.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 109.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROAD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $104.26, while resistance sits at $122.39.
Market Sentiment: ROAD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.57 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROAD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $104.26, while resistance sits at $122.39.
Market Sentiment: ROAD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.57 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$109.89 -
$122.80
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ROAD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($146.57)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-14.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.89 -
$122.80
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.26
Resistance Level
$122.39
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.24
Wall Street Target
$146.57
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.7%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.2 vs 32.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.63
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$97.60
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$92.82
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→33)
$107.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.2, Growth: 26.3%)
$217.62
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.3%)
$167.84
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.3%)
$142.67
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.29
Bull Case
$200.28
(+86%)
Analyst growth 66.9%, PE expands to 52.4
Base Case
$182.07
(+69%)
Market implied 66.9%, PE stable at 47.6
Bear Case
$74.19
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.2 to 32.8
Stabilization Target:
$125.35
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ROAD price and gamma walls.
