RPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPT - Rithm Property Trust Inc.
$14.27
-0.67 (-4.48%)
▼
5d:
-4.61%
30d:
-0.83%
90d:
-2.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.53
54.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPT is currently trading at $14.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.21 to $14.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+54.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+54.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.21 -
$14.82
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 54.2% below Wall St target ($22.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.21 -
$14.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.33
Resistance Level
$15.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.92
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+54.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
108.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.1%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.84
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.56
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.40
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→16)
$19.01
(+33%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 1900.0%)
$119.18
(+735%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 1900.0%)
$48.16
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 1900.0%)
$40.94
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$26.08
(+82.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+82.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 5:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 AM
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