RRGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRGB - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$3.76
-0.24 (-6.00%) ▼
5d: +0.8%
30d: -1.96%
90d: +17.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026 3d
Smart Money Accumulation

RRGB is down 7.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-06-18 with 823 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRGB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 26.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRGB is currently trading at $3.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.44 to $3.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 70.5) compared to its historical average (35.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 26.4% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.43, while resistance sits at $4.04. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: RRGB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.12 (+153.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $3.44 - $3.94
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 153.1% below Wall St target ($10.12)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 26.4% growth - appears too optimistic based on history

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.44 - $3.94
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.43
Resistance Level $4.04
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 70.55
Wall Street Target $10.13 (+153.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.7%
Profit Margin -1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +26.4% premium
PE vs Historical 70.6 vs 35.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +26.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.06 (+26%)
2-Year Target $6.39 (+60%)
3-Year Target $8.08 (+102%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 71→35) PE COMPRESSION $4.01 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jesse Griffith SELL 1008 shares 2026-04-06
Jesse Griffith SELL 839 shares 2026-03-23
Sarah A Mussetter SELL 2913 shares 2026-03-23

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