SCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCM - STELLUS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORPORATION
$8.89
-0.12 (-1.33%)
▼
5d:
+1.48%
30d:
-3.68%
90d:
+2.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SCM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SCM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.46
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCM is currently trading at $8.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.82 to $9.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.50 (+18.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.50 (+18.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$8.82 -
$9.28
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.82 -
$9.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.66
Resistance Level
$9.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.78
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.4%
Profit Margin
23.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.60
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$8.31
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$8.04
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$8.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.4%)
$21.15
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -1.4%)
$8.53
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -1.4%)
$7.25
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$12.08
(+36%)
Analyst growth 21.9%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$10.99
(+24%)
Market implied 21.9%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$6.13
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$9.82
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 12:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert T Ladd
BUY
1700 shares
2026-03-16
Bruce R Bilger
BUY
45490 shares
2026-03-13
Robert T Ladd
BUY
35000 shares
2026-03-13
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