SHIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHIM - Shimmick Corporation Common Stock
$4.45
-0.52 (-10.46%)
▼
5d:
-4.91%
30d:
-15.72%
90d:
+18.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 28.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 28.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.24
63.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHIM is currently trading at $4.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.62 to $5.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (29.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 28.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHIM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.05, while resistance sits at $6.39. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+46.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHIM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.05, while resistance sits at $6.39. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+46.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.62 -
$5.77
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 46.1% below Wall St target ($6.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.62 -
$5.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.05
Resistance Level
$6.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.99
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+46.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-27.9%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-28.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 29.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-28.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.60
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→30)
$8.80
(+98%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 912.5%)
$30.21
(+579%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 912.5%)
$15.02
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 912.5%)
$12.77
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 29.8
Stabilization Target:
$12.07
(+171.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+171.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 19, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mitchell B Goldsteen
SELL
125000 shares
2026-03-17
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