SKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKT - Tanger Inc.
$35.27
-0.51 (-1.43%)
▼
5d:
-3.02%
30d:
-2.97%
90d:
+4.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.68
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKT is currently trading at $35.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.74 to $36.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.74 -
$36.91
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.74 -
$36.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.88
Resistance Level
$37.04
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.62
Wall Street Target
$38.55
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.6 vs 29.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.74
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.22
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$33.71
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→30)
$35.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$48.93
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.5%)
$37.73
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$32.07
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$45.76
(+30%)
Analyst growth 16.3%, PE expands to 37.1
Base Case
$41.60
(+18%)
Market implied 16.3%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$24.33
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.6 to 29.9
Stabilization Target:
$36.85
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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