SKY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$65.66
-0.62 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
-5.35%
30d:
-19.27%
90d:
-32.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SKY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.77
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $65.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.65 to $80.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SKY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.40 (+43.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SKY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.40 (+43.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.65 -
$80.95
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.9% below Wall St target ($95.40)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.65 -
$80.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.97
Resistance Level
$77.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.83
Wall Street Target
$95.40
(+43.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 21.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.91
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$57.82
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$54.00
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→22)
$66.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -1.4%)
$78.68
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: -1.4%)
$63.56
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: -1.4%)
$54.03
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$75.89
(+15%)
Analyst growth -0.9%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$68.99
(+4%)
Market implied -0.9%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$47.32
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$81.41
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Kimmell
SELL
2880 shares
2026-03-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-23
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