SMWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$4.13
0.35 (9.26%)
▲
5d:
+30.7%
30d:
+59.46%
90d:
+61.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SMWB is 20.1% above its trading range ($3.44). Market expects -5.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SMWB is 20.1% above its trading range ($3.44). Market expects -5.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.83
29.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $4.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.57 to $3.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.57 -
$3.44
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+20.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.17)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 20.1% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.57 -
$3.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.62
Resistance Level
$3.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.97
Wall Street Target
$4.17
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Profit Margin
-11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.92
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$3.73
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$3.54
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$4.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 59.3%)
$18.06
(+337%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 59.3%)
$13.94
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 59.3%)
$11.85
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$4.82
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 8:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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