SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$12.49
-0.21 (-1.65%)
▼
5d:
-4.22%
30d:
-30.69%
90d:
-24.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRAD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRAD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.57
44.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $12.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.58 to $16.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (32.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.02, while resistance sits at $14.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.25 (+70.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.02, while resistance sits at $14.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.25 (+70.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.58 -
$16.40
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.2% below Wall St target ($21.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.58 -
$16.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.02
Resistance Level
$14.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.73
Wall Street Target
$21.25
(+70.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 32.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.24
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.12
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→33)
$17.91
(+43%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 69.7%)
$55.62
(+345%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 69.7%)
$42.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 69.7%)
$35.83
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$27.83
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.5
Base Case
$25.30
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.7
Bear Case
$8.60
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 32.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.57
(+96.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+96.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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