SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$15.01
-0.11 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
+3.88%
30d:
+9.72%
90d:
-9.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SRAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SRAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.57
33.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $15.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.63 to $15.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (29.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.51, while resistance sits at $16.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.22 (+41.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.51, while resistance sits at $16.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.22 (+41.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.63 -
$15.85
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.4% below Wall St target ($21.22)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.63 -
$15.85
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.51
Resistance Level
$16.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.10
Wall Street Target
$21.22
(+41.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 29.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.51
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.16
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→30)
$16.28
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 69.7%)
$54.89
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 69.7%)
$50.66
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 69.7%)
$43.06
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.41
Bull Case
$18.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$15.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case
$11.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 29.9
Stabilization Target:
$22.33
(+48.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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