STRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRL - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. Common Stock
$700.75
-75.80 (-9.76%)
▼
5d:
-20.54%
30d:
-19.96%
90d:
+66.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: STRL is down 20.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: STRL is down 20.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1316.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$817.39
14.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRL is currently trading at $700.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $775.57 to $906.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (31.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 141.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $760.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $941.17 (+34.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $760.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $941.17 (+34.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$775.57 -
$906.31
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STRL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($941.17)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$775.57 -
$906.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$760.00
Resistance Level
$1005.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.92
Wall Street Target
$941.17
(+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
91.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
141.4%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 31.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$658.70
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$619.18
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$582.03
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→31)
$700.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 42.9%)
$2045.60
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.9%)
$1719.18
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 42.9%)
$1461.30
(+109%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 41.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $17.03
Bull Case
$846.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 43.2
Base Case
$700.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 41.2
Bear Case
$536.07
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 37.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.9 to 31.2
Stabilization Target:
$843.65
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Cutillo
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-23
Joseph A Cutillo
SELL
50000 shares
2026-03-25
Dana C O'brien
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-09
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