STT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STT - State Street Corporation
$170.69
1.02 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
+6.83%
90d:
+33.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.24
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STT is currently trading at $170.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $158.81 to $170.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$158.81 -
$170.17
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($171.32)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with -2.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$158.81 -
$170.17
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.96
Resistance Level
$164.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.03
Wall Street Target
$171.32
(+0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.1%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$177.52
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$184.62
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$192.00
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$170.83
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$426.05
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$235.24
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 11.3%)
$199.96
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.86
Bull Case
$268.67
(+57%)
Analyst growth 44.0%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$244.24
(+43%)
Market implied 44.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$115.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mostapha Tahiri
SELL
9611 shares
2026-04-22
Michael L Richards
SELL
3000 shares
2026-04-22
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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